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I've called (and seen) instances where I haven't seen the ball leave the hands but have known that there is no way in the world that the ball has left the hands backwards, for example, a stationary player with his back to me offloading to another player ahead of him across their defending 10m line and another similar where a mark was taken just in goal, player immediately passed and the receiver took the ball about 2m into the FOP. Both had no momentum and no breeze/wind but clearly travelled forward and both were pinged.
I agree that a player in motion passing flat or slightly backwards will always travel forward relative to the goal line though, just for these cases, neither players were in motion.
Yes, In both your quoted cases, the passer is stationary, and therefore there is no momentum to consider. A ball that travels forward from a stationary passer MUST be a forward pass (unless there is a honking great tailwind). I thought that was obvious enough that it didn't need stating.
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